LEGISLATIVE FISCAL ESTIMATE

ASSEMBLY, No. 6024

STATE OF NEW JERSEY

218th LEGISLATURE

 

DATED: JANUARY 13, 2020

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Synopsis:

Provides retirement allowance after 20 years of service regardless of age for members of PFRS.

Type of Impact:

Expenditure increase to the State General Fund, local government funds.

Agencies Affected:

Division of Pensions and Benefits in the Department of the Treasury; local government entities.

 

 

Office of Legislative Services Estimate

Fiscal Impact

Year 1 

Year 2 

Year 3 

 

State Cost Increase

Indeterminate

 

Local Cost Increase

Indeterminate

 

 

 

 

·         This bill will result in a significant but indeterminate increase in the annual contributions required to be paid by the State and local governments to the Police and Firemen’s Retirement System (PFRS).

·         The increase in the unfunded liability resulting from this bill will be determined by the actuary for the PFRS and will be funded over time. 

·         The OLS estimates that this bill will increase retirement allowances (State and local) from the PFRS by $413.6 million annually ($366.8 million-local and $46.7 million-State) if all 6,881 (5,846-local and 1,035-State) eligible PFRS members retire under the new retirement benefit provided by the bill.  This estimate is based on an assumption that all eligible PFRS members would retire under the new benefit.  The OLS does not have information on the number who would do so and it is not likely that all eligible members would retire under the new benefit.

·         The present value of the unfunded liability for all members who could retire under the bill is estimated to be $3.981 billion ($3.533 billion-local and $447.6 million-State).  The annual payment on the unfunded liability would be $333.9 million per year over 30 years at a discount rate of 7.5 percent. 

·         If all eligible members opt for the new benefit, this bill would reduce the current funded ratio of the PFRS-Local from 73.5 percent to 66.9 percent and of the PFRS-State from 37.6 percent to 34.5 percent in the first year.

·         For those local governments that pay for post-retirement medical (PRM) benefits for their retired employees, there would be PRM savings resulting from PFRS members who retire before becoming eligible for those benefits.  For the State, there would also be some savings from PFRS members who retire before becoming eligible for PRM benefits.  The OLS does not have the data to determine the State or local government PRM savings.

 

BILL DESCRIPTION

 

      This bill provides an additional category of service retirement for a member of the PFRS.  Under the bill, a member of the PFRS who is enrolled before or after the effective date of this bill may retire after the effective date of this bill, regardless of age, upon attaining 20 or more years of service credit and receive a retirement allowance equal to 50 percent of the member's final compensation.

      Under current law, a member must be 55 years of age or older to retire on a service retirement allowance of 50 percent of final compensation upon attaining 20 years or more of service credit.  In addition, a 1999 law permitted members, who were already enrolled in PFRS at that time, to retire at any age with 50 percent of final compensation upon attaining 20 or more years of service credit.  This bill extends the annual retirement benefit of 50 percent of final compensation after 20 or more years of service to all PFRS members regardless of enrollment date and regardless of age at retirement.

 

 

FISCAL ANALYSIS

 

EXECUTIVE BRANCH

 

      None received.

 

OFFICE OF LEGISLATIVE SERVICES

 

This bill will result in a significant but indeterminate increase in the annual contributions required to be paid by the State and local governments to the PFRS.  The increase in the unfunded liability resulting from this bill will be determined by the actuary for the PFRS and will be funded over time. 

The OLS estimates that this bill will increase retirement allowances (State and local) from the PFRS by $413.6 million annually ($366.8 million-local and $46.7 million-State) if all 6,881 (5,846-local and 1,035-State) eligible PFRS members retire under the new retirement benefit provided by the bill.  The OLS does not have information on the number who would do so and it is not likely that all eligible members would retire under the new benefit.  The present value of the unfunded liability for all members who could retire under the bill is estimated to be $3.981 billion ($3.533 billion-local and $447.6 million-State).  The annual payment on the unfunded liability would be $333.9 million per year over 30 years at a discount rate of 7.5 percent.  If all eligible members opt for the new benefit, this bill would reduce the current funded ratio of the PFRS-Local from 73.5 percent to 66.9 percent and of the PFRS-State from 37.6 percent to 34.5 percent in the first year. 

For those local governments that pay for PRM benefits for their retired employees, there would be PRM savings resulting from PFRS members who retire before becoming eligible for those benefits.  For the State, there would also be some savings from PFRS members who retire before becoming eligible for PRM benefits.  The OLS does not have the data to determine the State or local government PRM savings.

The conclusions in this analysis are predicated on a certain set of assumptions and based on the most recent PFRS actuarial valuations.  If the assumptions change or additional information becomes available that would change the assumptions, then the conclusions may change.

 

 

Section:

State Government

Analyst:

Kimberly M. Clemmensen

Lead Fiscal Analyst

Approved:

Frank W. Haines III

Legislative Budget and Finance Officer

 

 

This fiscal estimate has been prepared pursuant to P.L.1980, c.67 (C.52:13B-6 et seq.)